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New Zealand’s economy is currently volatile because of the global COVID-19 pandemic and the effects of the public health response. Waka Kotahi NZ Transport Agency commissioned research into the impacts of COVID-19 pandemic, to help us understand the potential socio-economic impacts on New Zealand’s regions and communities.

The pandemic is impacting immigration, New Zealand’s economic structure and customer preferences among many other things, all of which have flow-on effects for transport demand. It will also present funding and financing challenges for the public and private sector.

The analysis of this research primarily focuses on the potential impacts over the next four years as the country recovers from the initial pandemic and subsequent economic slowdown, but it also contains estimates of what will happen between years 5-10 in terms of the ‘direction of travel’ for demographics and the economy. The analysis has helped shape the strategic direction of Arataki V2.

Arataki V2 represents our best and most current view of the challenges and opportunities facing the land transport system over the next decade. We cannot anticipate the full extent or implications of COVID-19 on New Zealand or how we will need to respond. Significant levels of uncertainty remain regarding the scale and duration of COVID-19 impacts, particularly in the medium to long-term. We will continue to monitor and update as things change.

COVID-19 research FAQs [PDF, 45 KB]

COVID-19 research reports

The data used in these reports is also available to download:

COVID-19 employer modelling

The employment modelling used to inform Arataki V2 is now available to use as an interactive dashboard.

Regional summaries of potential impacts

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